AAR (AIR): FY27 Q1 earnings call, Sep 29, 2026
On its Sep 29, 2026 earnings call (FY27 Q1), AAR said 2 of the 11 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 11 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
11 words · 2 settled yes · our count agreed on 11 of 11- Kalshi: company speakers + operator
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MRO Holdings | Yes | 37 | 38 | ✓ | 15%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| El Salvador | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 15%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Delta | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 84%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Oklahoma City | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 81%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Aircraft Reconfig | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 55%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Iran / Middle East | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 33%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Tariff | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 17%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Headwind | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 15%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Pritzker | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 15%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Oil | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 12%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 12%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsSpeaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.
Where the listed words were said
…first quarter earnings and the announced acquisition of a controlling interest in MRO Holdings. We're joined today by John Holmes, Chairman, President, and Chief Executive…
…is a scaled, highly differentiated heavy maintenance provider with five locations across El Salvador, Mexico, Colombia, and the U.S., and room to expand further in…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/aar:2026-09-29:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=aar:2026-09-29:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP