Will AAR say “Oklahoma City”?

AAR did not say “Oklahoma City” on its Sep 29, 2026 call (FY27 Q1); it said it on 7 of its last 8 calls: 1, 2, 3, 1, 3, 1, 2, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, AAR said “Oklahoma City” on 1 of 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 24, 2026 (50%), most recently on Mar 24, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 59% (n=2, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

59%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=2Next: Earnings call, Jan 5, 2027 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
46¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

AAR

Oklahoma City

Probability
59% · n=2
Settled
1/2 (50%)
Last calls
said in 7 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY27 Q1 earnings call, Sep 29, 2026 · not said

Open the appearance

FY26 Q4 earnings call, Jul 21, 2026 · said 2 times (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

John HolmescompanypreparedIn transcript

…distribution. We continue to make progress on our airframe MRO expansions, with Oklahoma City completed in March and our Miami facility that will come online…

John HolmescompanypreparedIn transcript

…broad interest this solution is generating. We are in the process of rolling out our paperless hangar technology at our Oklahoma City and Greensboro facilities.

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Mar 24, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: company speakers + operator

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

John HolmescompanypreparedIn transcript

…is ahead of schedule, and our hanger expansions are on track with Oklahoma City now complete, and I am expected to be operational later this…

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jan 6, 2026 · said 3 times (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

3 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).

John HolmescompanypreparedIn transcript

…our repair and engineering business, we continue to make progress on our Oklahoma City and Miami airframe heavy maintenance expansions. Both expansions are progressing well…

John HolmescompanyqaIn transcript

…in our FY '27. We will see a slight contribution from the Oklahoma City site that will come online likely in February time frame. But…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Sep 23, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

Open the appearance

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Jul 16, 2025 · said 3 times (counts)

Open the appearance

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Mar 27, 2025 · said 2 times (counts)

Open the appearance

FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jan 7, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Sep 29, 2026Oklahoma CityKalshiNo0
Mar 24, 2026Oklahoma CityKalshiYes1

Questions

How many times did AAR say “Oklahoma City” on its last earnings call?
AAR did not say “Oklahoma City” on its Sep 29, 2026 call (FY27 Q1); it said it on 7 of its last 8 calls: 1, 2, 3, 1, 3, 1, 2, 0 times.
How often does AAR say “Oklahoma City”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, AAR said “Oklahoma City” on 1 of 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 24, 2026 (50%), most recently on Mar 24, 2026.
What is the probability AAR says “Oklahoma City” next time?
59%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “AAR: ‘Oklahoma City’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/AIR/words/oklahoma-city (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=aar&word=oklahoma%20city · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=aar&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP