The Joe Rogan Experience: Episode, Mar 16, 2026
Polymarket What will be said on the next episode of the Joe Rogan Experience podcast?
Markets
20 words · 13 settled yes- Polymarket: anyone Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Epstein | Yes | 58%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Addiction / Drug | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Biden | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Crazy 15+ times | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| War | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Dude 10+ times | Yes | 47%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Jamie 3+ times | Yes | 47%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| China | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| People 50+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Russia | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Shit 10+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Elon / Musk | Yes | 40%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Donald / Trump | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Oil | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Israel | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Jamie 10+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Gold / Silver | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Iran | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| UFO / Alien | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 31%n=5 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-be-said-on-the-next-episode-of-the-joe-rogan-experience-podcast · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP