The Joe Rogan Experience: Episode, Oct 25, 2026
Polymarket What will be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (October 19)
Markets
13 words · 7 settled yes- Polymarket: anyone Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| People 100+ times | Yes | 82%n=24 from settlement history | – |
| Fuck / Fucking 10+ times | Yes | 79%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Hundred / Thousand / Million 10+ times | Yes | 74%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Right 5+ times | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Shit 5+ times | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Alien | Yes | 52%n=25 from settlement history | – |
| Preposterous | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Chimp / Monkey | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Elon / Musk | No | 53%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Bill Gates | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Buddy of Mine | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| DMT | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Dude 20+ times | No | 37%n=20 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 25, 2026 04:02 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-be-said-on-the-first-joe-rogan-experience-episode-of-the-week-october-19 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP