The Joe Rogan Experience: Episode, May 17, 2026
Polymarket What will be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (May 11)
Markets
28 words · 6 settled yes- Polymarket: anyone Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ass | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hundred / Thousand / Million 15+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Left | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| People 111+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Right | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Understand | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Shit 10+ times | No | 77%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Table | No | 69%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Dude 10+ times | No | 68%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| No | 60%n=4 from settlement history | – | |
| Apple | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Fuck / Fucking 20+ times | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Algorithm | No | 48%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Coffee | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| COVID / Covid-19 / Coronavirus | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Dinosaur | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Disease | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Elephant | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Guitar | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hantavirus | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Laptop | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Plastic | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Chocolate | No | 38%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Hegemony | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Octopus | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Pyramid | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Cookie | No | 31%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Mickey Mouse | No | 23%n=4 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-be-said-on-the-first-joe-rogan-experience-episode-of-the-week-may-11 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP