The Joe Rogan Experience: Episode, Mar 29, 2026
Polymarket What will be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)
Markets
22 words · 12 settled yes- Polymarket: anyone Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Addiction / Drug | Yes | 65%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Biden | Yes | 65%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Crazy 15+ times | Yes | 65%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| War | Yes | 65%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Shit 10+ times | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Donald / Trump | Yes | 56%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Dude 10+ times | Yes | 56%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Jamie 3+ times | Yes | 56%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Elon / Musk | Yes | 54%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Israel | Yes | 49%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Oscar / Oscars | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| UFO / Alien | Yes | 33%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Epstein | No | 63%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| China | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Russia | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Oil | No | 56%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Crack Cocaine | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Gang | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Jake Paul / Logan Paul | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Iran | No | 42%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Jamie 10+ times | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 29%n=6 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-be-said-on-the-first-joe-rogan-experience-episode-of-the-week-march-29 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP