The Joe Rogan Experience: Episode, Mar 15, 2026
Polymarket What will be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 15)
Markets
13 words · 9 settled yes- Polymarket: anyone Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oil | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Bomb | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Israel | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Military | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Pizza | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Propaganda | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Elon / Musk | Yes | 40%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Donald / Trump | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Iran | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Big Brother | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fuck him up | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Holy Shit | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| MMA | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-be-said-on-the-first-joe-rogan-experience-episode-of-the-week-march-15 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP