The Joe Rogan Experience: Episode, Jun 7, 2026

By Jun 7EpisodeHistory onlyThe Joe Rogan Experience

Updated

Markets

22 words · 12 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Hundred / Thousand / Million 15+ timesYes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Love Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Attention Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Believe Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Different Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Imagine Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Pretty Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Probably Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
System Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Texas Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
World Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Guitar Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Instagram No53%n=5 from settlement history–
Alien No45%n=5 from settlement history–
Canada No–new new word, no probability yet–
Dude 20+ timesNo–new new word, no probability yet–
Government No–new new word, no probability yet–
People 200+ timesNo–new new word, no probability yet–
Tesla No–new new word, no probability yet–
Trump 10+ timesNo–new new word, no probability yet–
Hillary / Clinton No30%n=2 from settlement history–
Hantavirus No26%n=3 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.

Transcript

No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.

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