The Joe Rogan Experience: Episode, Aug 2, 2026
Polymarket What will be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (July 27)
Markets
20 words · 16 settled yes- Polymarket: anyone Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Right | Yes | 82%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| People 100+ times | Yes | 82%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Different | Yes | 77%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Left | Yes | 77%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Crazy | Yes | 76%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Amazing | Yes | 74%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Problem | Yes | 74%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Show | Yes | 74%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Fuck / Fucking 10+ times | Yes | 66%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Alien | Yes | 54%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Blue | Yes | 49%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Red | Yes | 49%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Human | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| People 150+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Dude 20+ times | Yes | 40%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Spy | Yes | 36%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| World Cup | No | 36%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Tesla | No | 27%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Obsolete | No | 24%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Trump 10+ times | No | 14%n=8 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-be-said-on-the-first-joe-rogan-experience-episode-of-the-week-july-27-20260723172025065 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP