The Joe Rogan Experience: Episode, Feb 22, 2026
Polymarket What will be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (February 22)
Markets
20 words · 10 settled yes- Polymarket: anyone Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| People 100+ times | Yes | 62%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Epstein | Yes | 47%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Cocaine | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fuck / Fucking 20+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Interesting 5+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Really 10+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump / MAGA | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Valentine / Valentine's | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| War | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Jamie 5+ times | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Congress | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| DHS | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Dow Jones | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fentanyl | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Shooting | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Super Bowl / Big Game | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Terrorist / Terrorism | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Olympic / Olympics | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Pam / Bondi | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-be-said-on-the-first-joe-rogan-experience-episode-of-the-week-february-22 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP