President Curtis: Episode, Aug 9, 2026

Sun, Aug 9EpisodeHistory onlyPresident Curtis

Updated

Markets

12 words · 4 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Paranormal Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
President 10+ timesYes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Secret Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Security Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Ghost No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Portal No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Anomaly No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Black No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
CIA No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Morty No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Rick No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
White House No–n=1 too little history for a probability–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.

Transcript

History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.

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