President Curtis: Episode, Aug 2, 2026

Sun, Aug 2EpisodeHistory onlyPresident Curtis

Updated

Markets

16 words · 7 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Alien Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Ghost Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Paranormal Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Portal Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
President 10+ timesYes–new new word, no probability yet–
Secret Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Security Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Agent 10+ timesNo–new new word, no probability yet–
Anomaly No–new new word, no probability yet–
Black No–new new word, no probability yet–
CIA No–new new word, no probability yet–
Gun No–new new word, no probability yet–
Invade / Invasion No–new new word, no probability yet–
Morty No–new new word, no probability yet–
Rick No–new new word, no probability yet–
White House No–new new word, no probability yet–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.

Transcript

History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-be-said-during-the-second-episode-of-president-curtis-season-1-20260728162047829 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP