Esports: Game, Jun 21, 2026

Sun, Jun 21GameHistory onlyEsports

Updated

Markets

19 words · 6 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Five Seven Yes77%n=2 from settlement history–
Jungle Yes77%n=2 from settlement history–
No Kit Yes77%n=2 from settlement history–
AWP 10+ timesYes76%n=2 from settlement history–
Clutch 10+ timesYes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Deagle 5+ timesYes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Ace No82%n=4 from settlement history–
Bomb 100+ timesNo80%n=3 from settlement history–
Smoke 100+ timesNo80%n=3 from settlement history–
Monster No77%n=2 from settlement history–
Squeaky No77%n=2 from settlement history–
No Scope No69%n=4 from settlement history–
Knife 5+ timesNo68%n=3 from settlement history–
Posture No65%n=3 from settlement history–
Goose No59%n=2 from settlement history–
Six Seven No58%n=4 from settlement history–
Banana 10+ timesNo55%n=4 from settlement history–
Bleed Out No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Ninja No46%n=4 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.

Transcript

History only. Sports broadcasts are tracked by their settled markets; there is no transcript for games.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-be-said-during-the-iem-cologne-2026-grand-finals-20260614191816189 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP