Esports: Game, May 17, 2026
Polymarket What will be said during the IEM Atlanta 2026 Grand Finals?
Markets
29 words · 22 settled yes- Polymarket: anyone Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ace | Yes | 79%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Bomb 100+ times | Yes | 76%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Smoke 100+ times | Yes | 76%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Five Seven | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Jungle | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Monster | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| No Kit | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Squeaky | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Deagle 10+ times | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Donk | Yes | 67%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Back to Back | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Heaven 10+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Knife 10+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ladder | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Molly / Molotov 10+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| No Chance | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Palace 10+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Triple Kill | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Wallbang | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| No Scope | Yes | 63%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Posture | Yes | 58%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Six Seven | Yes | 50%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Goose | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Collat / Collateral | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Disgusting | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Flank 10+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Footstep | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Gamble | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Banana 10+ times | No | 63%n=3 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
History only. Sports broadcasts are tracked by their settled markets; there is no transcript for games.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-be-said-during-the-iem-atlanta-2026-grand-finals · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP