President Curtis: Episode, Aug 23, 2026
Polymarket What will be said during the fifth episode of President Curtis: Season 1?
Markets
15 words · 7 settled yes- Polymarket: anyone Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Security | Yes | 63%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| God 5+ times | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Hell | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| White House | Yes | 39%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Ghost | Yes | 33%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Monster | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Power | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Secret | No | 63%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Leprechaun | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Paranormal | No | 46%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| President 10+ times | No | 46%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Agent 5+ times | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Bank 5+ times | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| CIA | No | 22%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Rick | No | 22%n=3 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.
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