Esports: Game, Apr 19, 2026
Polymarket What will be said during the CS IEM Rio 2026 Grand Final?
Markets
26 words · 20 settled yes- Polymarket: anyone Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ace | Yes | 74%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Faze | Yes | 74%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| AWP 10+ times | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Bomb 100+ times | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Knife 5+ times | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Smoke 100+ times | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Clutch 10+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Deagle 5+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Five Seven | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Goose | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| HLTV | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Jungle | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Monster | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| No Kit | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Scout 10+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Squeaky | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| USA | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| XM | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Donk | Yes | 55%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Six Seven | Yes | 39%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Banana 10+ times | No | 74%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| No Scope | No | 74%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Posture | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Bleed Out | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Zeus | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ninja | No | 55%n=2 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
History only. Sports broadcasts are tracked by their settled markets; there is no transcript for games.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-be-said-during-the-cs-iem-rio-2026-grand-final · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP