Robinhood: Episode, Dec 16, 2025

Tue, Dec 16EpisodeHistory onlyRobinhood

Updated

Markets

8 words · 5 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
AI Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Crypto / Bitcoin Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Hedge / Hedging Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Predict / Prediction 5+ timesYes–new new word, no probability yet–
Trade 5+ timesYes–new new word, no probability yet–
Kalshi No–new new word, no probability yet–
NFT No–new new word, no probability yet–
Trump No–new new word, no probability yet–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.

Transcript

We don't have this transcript yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-be-said-during-robinhood-stream-on-december-16 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP