Big Brother: Episode, Jul 16, 2026

Thu, Jul 16EpisodeHistory onlyBig Brother

Updated

Markets

16 words · 5 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Target Yes59%n=2 from settlement history–
Trust Yes59%n=2 from settlement history–
Power 5+ timesYes44%n=2 from settlement history–
Diary Yes25%n=2 from settlement history–
Evict Yes25%n=2 from settlement history–
Energy No59%n=2 from settlement history–
Grateful No59%n=2 from settlement history–
Pillow No59%n=2 from settlement history–
Instagram / TikTok No44%n=2 from settlement history–
Camera No41%n=2 from settlement history–
Paranoid No41%n=2 from settlement history–
AI / Artificial Intelligence No25%n=2 from settlement history–
Jury No25%n=2 from settlement history–
Moon No25%n=2 from settlement history–
Prize 5+ timesNo25%n=2 from settlement history–
Villain No25%n=2 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.

Transcript

History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-be-said-during-episode-5-of-big-brother-20260716163907978 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP