Big Brother: Episode, Aug 20, 2026

Thu, Aug 20EpisodeHistory onlyBig Brother

Updated

Markets

10 words · 7 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Loyal / Loyalty Yes67%n=11 from settlement history–
Trust Yes62%n=8 from settlement history–
Evict Yes56%n=19 from settlement history–
Power 10+ timesYes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Diary Yes32%n=12 from settlement history–
Secret Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Instagram / TikTok Yes19%n=16 from settlement history–
Poison No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Prize 3+ timesNo–n=1 too little history for a probability–
AI / Artificial Intelligence No15%n=19 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.

Transcript

History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-be-said-during-episode-22-of-big-brother-20260820 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP