Big Brother: Episode, Aug 19, 2026

Wed, Aug 19EpisodeHistory onlyBig Brother

Updated

Markets

10 words · 5 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Loyal / Loyalty Yes65%n=10 from settlement history–
Trust Yes58%n=7 from settlement history–
Evict Yes51%n=18 from settlement history–
Poison Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Power 10+ timesYes–new new word, no probability yet–
Diary No36%n=11 from settlement history–
Prize 3+ timesNo–new new word, no probability yet–
Secret No–new new word, no probability yet–
Instagram / TikTok No20%n=15 from settlement history–
AI / Artificial Intelligence No15%n=18 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.

Transcript

History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-be-said-during-episode-21-of-big-brother-20260819 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP