Big Brother: Episode, Jul 12, 2026

Sun, Jul 12EpisodeHistory onlyBig Brother

Updated

Markets

16 words · 7 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Energy Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Grateful Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Pillow Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Target Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Trust Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Instagram / TikTok Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Power 5+ timesYes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Camera No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Paranoid No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Diary No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Evict No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Moon No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Prize 5+ timesNo–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Villain No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
AI / Artificial Intelligence No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Jury No–n=1 too little history for a probability–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.

Transcript

History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-be-said-during-episode-2-of-big-brother-20260709220215486 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP