Big Brother: Episode, Aug 12, 2026

Wed, Aug 12EpisodeHistory onlyBig Brother

Updated

Markets

10 words · 5 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Trust Yes63%n=4 from settlement history–
Power 5+ timesYes60%n=15 from settlement history–
Loyal / Loyalty Yes55%n=7 from settlement history–
Evict Yes53%n=15 from settlement history–
Jury Yes21%n=12 from settlement history–
Diary No39%n=8 from settlement history–
Camera No34%n=15 from settlement history–
Instagram / TikTok No26%n=12 from settlement history–
AI / Artificial Intelligence No16%n=15 from settlement history–
Prize 5+ timesNo14%n=15 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.

Transcript

History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-be-said-during-episode-18-of-big-brother-20260810172754017 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP