Big Brother: Episode, Aug 2, 2026

Sun, Aug 2EpisodeHistory onlyBig Brother

Updated

Markets

18 words · 5 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Power 5+ timesYes56%n=10 from settlement history–
Nominate / Nominated / Nomination Yes55%n=2 from settlement history–
Threat Yes55%n=2 from settlement history–
Time Capsule Yes55%n=2 from settlement history–
Veto Yes55%n=2 from settlement history–
Loyal / Loyalty No55%n=2 from settlement history–
Evict No45%n=10 from settlement history–
Diary Room No40%n=2 from settlement history–
Camera No27%n=10 from settlement history–
Pillow No26%n=6 from settlement history–
Detective No21%n=2 from settlement history–
Mindset No21%n=2 from settlement history–
Toilet No21%n=2 from settlement history–
Unpredictable / Predictable No21%n=2 from settlement history–
AI / Artificial Intelligence No21%n=10 from settlement history–
Moon No15%n=6 from settlement history–
Prize 5+ timesNo14%n=10 from settlement history–
Villain No14%n=10 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.

Transcript

History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-be-said-during-episode-13-of-big-brother-20260727163407070 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP