Big Brother: Episode, Jul 30, 2026
Polymarket What will be said during Episode 12 of Big Brother?
Markets
18 words · 7 settled yes- Polymarket: anyone Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Loyal / Loyalty | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Nominate / Nominated / Nomination | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Threat | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Time Capsule | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Veto | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Evict | Yes | 37%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Diary Room | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Power 5+ times | No | 68%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Camera | No | 30%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Pillow | No | 29%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Detective | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Mindset | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Toilet | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Unpredictable / Predictable | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 23%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Moon | No | 16%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Prize 5+ times | No | 14%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Villain | No | 14%n=9 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-be-said-during-episode-12-of-big-brother-20260727163314796 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP