Winter Olympics: Game, Feb 16, 2026

Mon, Feb 16GameHistory onlyWinter Olympics

Updated

Markets

14 words · 12 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
NHL Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Bench / Benched Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Comeback / Come back Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Crease Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Glass Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Interference Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Knock / Knocks / Knocked Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Overtime Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
PowerPlay / Power Play Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Shootout Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Short Side Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Shutout Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Hat Trick No–new new word, no probability yet–
What a Goal / What a Shot No–new new word, no probability yet–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

History only. Sports broadcasts are tracked by their settled markets; there is no transcript for games.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXWOMENTION-26FEB16 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP