Winter Olympics: Game, Feb 13, 2026

Fri, Feb 13GameHistory onlyWinter Olympics

Updated

Markets

11 words · 5 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
2022 / Beijing Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Blade Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Crash / Crashed Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Veteran Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Record Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Apolo Ohno No–new new word, no probability yet–
DQ / Disqualified / Disqualification No–new new word, no probability yet–
False Start No–new new word, no probability yet–
Form No–new new word, no probability yet–
Jutta Leerdam No–new new word, no probability yet–
Photo Finish No–new new word, no probability yet–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

History only. Sports broadcasts are tracked by their settled markets; there is no transcript for games.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXWOMENTION-26FEB13B · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP