World Baseball Classic: Game, Mar 15, 2026

Sun, Mar 15GameHistory onlyWorld Baseball Classic

Updated

Markets

17 words · 12 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Bases Loaded Yes89%n=6 from settlement history–
Challenge Yes89%n=6 from settlement history–
Double Play Yes89%n=6 from settlement history–
Error Yes89%n=6 from settlement history–
Mercy Yes89%n=6 from settlement history–
Ohtani Yes89%n=6 from settlement history–
Trade / Trades / Traded Yes89%n=6 from settlement history–
MVP Yes76%n=6 from settlement history–
Grand Slam Yes65%n=6 from settlement history–
Walk Off Yes65%n=6 from settlement history–
Pitch Clock Yes65%n=6 from settlement history–
Triple Yes65%n=6 from settlement history–
Extra Inning No54%n=6 from settlement history–
Wild Pitch No54%n=6 from settlement history–
loanDepot No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Bunt / Bunts No44%n=6 from settlement history–
What a Catch No22%n=6 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

History only. Sports broadcasts are tracked by their settled markets; there is no transcript for games.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXWBCMENTION-26MAR152000USADOM · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP