Winter Olympics: Game, Feb 18, 2026

Wed, Feb 18GameHistory onlyWinter Olympics

Updated

Markets

14 words · 5 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
NHL Yes72%n=6 from settlement history–
Fight / Fighting Yes64%n=4 from settlement history–
Chloe Kim Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Money Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Teamwork Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
2028 No–new new word, no probability yet–
Good Move No–new new word, no probability yet–
Kings No–new new word, no probability yet–
Long Beach No–new new word, no probability yet–
Martha Stewart No–new new word, no probability yet–
Shizzle No–new new word, no probability yet–
Smoke / Smoking No–new new word, no probability yet–
Zamboni No–new new word, no probability yet–
What a Shot / What a Goal No20%n=5 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:05 UTC.

Transcript

History only. Sports broadcasts are tracked by their settled markets; there is no transcript for games.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXSNOOPMENTION-26FEB23 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP