Gina Hinojosa: Interview, Oct 15, 2026

Thu, Oct 15InterviewHistory onlyGina Hinojosa

Updated

Markets

12 words · 5 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Abbott Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Data Center Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Debate Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Republican Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
School / Education Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Afford / Affordable / Affordability No–new new word, no probability yet–
Billionaire No–new new word, no probability yet–
Corrupt / Corruption No–new new word, no probability yet–
Gerrymander / Gerrymandering / Redistricting No–new new word, no probability yet–
Healthcare No–new new word, no probability yet–
Property Tax No–new new word, no probability yet–
Trump No–new new word, no probability yet–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXPOLITICSMENTION-26OCT15 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP