Brooke Rollins: Keynote, May 29, 2026

Fri, May 29KeynoteHistory onlyBrooke Rollins

Updated

Markets

12 words · 6 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
China / Chinese Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Farm / Farmer Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
MAHA / Make America Healthy Again Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Soybean Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Tariff Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Trump 3+ timesYes–new new word, no probability yet–
Big Beautiful Bill No–new new word, no probability yet–
Death Tax No–new new word, no probability yet–
Egg No–new new word, no probability yet–
Fraud No–new new word, no probability yet–
Gas / Gasoline No–new new word, no probability yet–
Oil No–new new word, no probability yet–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXPOLITICSMENTION-26MAY29 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP