James Comer: Interview, May 20, 2026

Wed, May 20InterviewHistory onlyJames Comer

Updated

Markets

12 words · 3 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Iran / Iranian Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Massie Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Tax Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Afford / Affordable / Affordability No–new new word, no probability yet–
Biden No–new new word, no probability yet–
Bipartisan No–new new word, no probability yet–
Corrupt / Corruption No–new new word, no probability yet–
Democrat No–new new word, no probability yet–
Election No–new new word, no probability yet–
Fraud No–new new word, no probability yet–
Oil / Gas / Gasoline No–new new word, no probability yet–
Trump No–new new word, no probability yet–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXPOLITICSMENTION-26MAY20 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP