UFC & boxing: Press conference, Jun 12, 2026
Kalshi What will Gaethje or Topuria say during the UFC 250 Press Conference?
Markets
14 words · 5 settled yes- Kalshi: named broadcast crew Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Octagon | Yes | 51%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Train / Trained / Training | Yes | 49%n=53 from settlement history | – |
| History / Historic | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Knockout / Knocked Out / Knock You Out | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Rain / Raining | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Divorce | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Gimmick | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Highlight | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Matador | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Outdoor / Outside | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Paddy / Pimblett | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Rogan | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | No | 17%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Dana | No | 11%n=56 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:42 UTC.
Transcript
History only. Sports broadcasts are tracked by their settled markets; there is no transcript for games.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXPERSONMENTION-26JUN12 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP