Robinhood: Episode, Aug 3, 2026
Kalshi What will Robinhood say during the Ventures Fund Roadshow?
Markets
13 words · 5 settled yes- Kalshi: company speakers Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Databricks | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Democratize | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| OpenAI | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Y Combinator / YC | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tokenized / Tokenization | No | 73%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| SpaceX | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Crypto / Cryptocurrency | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Accredited | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Agent / Agentic | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Robinhood Gold | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | No | 60%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Bitcoin | No | 57%n=3 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
We don't have this transcript yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXPERSONMENTION-26AUG03 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP