Esports: Game, Apr 20, 2026
Kalshi What will the announcers say during CS IEM Rio Grand Final?
Markets
20 words · 13 settled yes- Kalshi: play-by-play or color Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Faze | Yes | 75%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Donk | Yes | 62%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Arena | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Run Boost | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trade / Traded | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ace / Aced | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Brazil | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Grand Slam | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| MVP | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Nuke | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Overtime | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Spawn | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Timeout | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Knife 5+ times | No | 72%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Skin | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| GG / Good Game | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| No Scope / No Scoped | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Banana 5+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Zeus | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Ninja | No | 49%n=3 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
History only. Sports broadcasts are tracked by their settled markets; there is no transcript for games.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXPERSONMENTION-26APR20 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP