College basketball: Game, Mar 11, 2026

Wed, Mar 11GameHistory onlyCollege basketball

Updated

Markets

16 words · 4 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Airball / Airballs / Airballed Yes64%n=57 from settlement history–
Elbow Yes59%n=70 from settlement history–
All American / All America Yes58%n=36 from settlement history–
Draft / Drafted Yes46%n=36 from settlement history–
Transfer / Transferred No77%n=70 from settlement history–
Schedule No57%n=70 from settlement history–
Record No57%n=70 from settlement history–
Overtime No51%n=67 from settlement history–
Double Double No50%n=69 from settlement history–
Orleans Arena No–new new word, no probability yet–
Ankle No46%n=70 from settlement history–
Recruit / Recruited / Recruitment No45%n=70 from settlement history–
Alley-oop No29%n=70 from settlement history–
NIL No24%n=70 from settlement history–
March Madness No21%n=70 from settlement history–
Walk On No18%n=70 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

History only. Sports broadcasts are tracked by their settled markets; there is no transcript for games.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXNCAABMENTION-WCC-26 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP