College basketball: Game, Apr 3, 2026

Fri, Apr 3GameHistory onlyCollege basketball

Updated

Markets

16 words · 5 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Transfer / Transferred Yes80%n=127 from settlement history–
All American / All America Yes55%n=94 from settlement history–
Recruit / Recruited / Recruitment Yes48%n=126 from settlement history–
Double Double Yes45%n=126 from settlement history–
Draft / Drafted Yes41%n=94 from settlement history–
Record No59%n=127 from settlement history–
Airball / Airballed No57%n=114 from settlement history–
Elbow No56%n=126 from settlement history–
Buzzer No52%n=41 from settlement history–
Ankle No48%n=126 from settlement history–
Mortgage Matchup No–new new word, no probability yet–
Overtime No43%n=123 from settlement history–
Schedule No43%n=127 from settlement history–
Alley-oop No24%n=126 from settlement history–
NIL No18%n=127 from settlement history–
Walk On No15%n=127 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

History only. Sports broadcasts are tracked by their settled markets; there is no transcript for games.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXNCAABMENTION-26APR03TEXUCLA · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP