Meet the Press: Episode, Mar 22, 2026
Kalshi What will Cuban Foreign Minister say during Meet the Press?
Markets
10 words · 2 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Socialism / Socialist | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Iran | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Fentanyl | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Maduro | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Marco / Rubio | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tariff | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Terrorist / Terrorism | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Venezuela | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMTPMENTION-26MAR22 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP