Ro Khanna: Interview, Mar 17, 2026

Tue, Mar 17InterviewHistory onlyRo Khanna

Updated

Markets

11 words · 2 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Trump Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Republican Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Epstein No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Corrupt / Corruption No–new new word, no probability yet–
FBI No–new new word, no probability yet–
Ghislaine / Maxwell No–new new word, no probability yet–
ICE / DHS No–new new word, no probability yet–
Iran No–new new word, no probability yet–
Israel / Israeli No–new new word, no probability yet–
Shutdown / Shut Down No–new new word, no probability yet–
Afford / Affordability / Affordable No–n=1 too little history for a probability–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMENTION-RO26MAR17 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP