Ro Khanna: Episode, Sep 27, 2026

Sun, Sep 27EpisodeHistory onlyRo Khanna

Updated

Markets

13 words · 5 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Trump Yes60%n=5 from settlement history–
AI / Artificial Intelligence Yes52%n=5 from settlement history–
Oil / Gas / Gasoline Yes48%n=4 from settlement history–
Billionaire Yes47%n=6 from settlement history–
Iran / Iranian Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Republican No58%n=5 from settlement history–
Healthcare No49%n=4 from settlement history–
Data Center No48%n=2 from settlement history–
Epstein No47%n=7 from settlement history–
Afford / Affordability / Affordable No36%n=6 from settlement history–
2028 / Campaign No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Corrupt / Corruption No28%n=6 from settlement history–
Israel / Israeli No28%n=6 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXKHANNAMENTION-26SEP27 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP