Ro Khanna: Rally, Oct 5, 2026

Mon, Oct 5RallyHistory onlyRo Khanna

Updated

Markets

15 words · 8 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Trump Yes66%n=7 from settlement history–
Billionaire Yes57%n=8 from settlement history–
Bernie / Sanders Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Healthcare Yes49%n=6 from settlement history–
AI / Artificial Intelligence Yes47%n=7 from settlement history–
Oil / Gas / Gasoline Yes42%n=6 from settlement history–
Iran / Iranian Yes37%n=3 from settlement history–
Epstein Yes36%n=9 from settlement history–
Working Class / Middle Class No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Midterm No–new new word, no probability yet–
Data Center No33%n=4 from settlement history–
China / Chinese No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Wealth Tax No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Afford / Affordability / Affordable No26%n=8 from settlement history–
Corrupt / Corruption No23%n=8 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXKHANNAMENTION-26OCT05 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP