Ro Khanna: Rally, Oct 3, 2026
Kalshi What will Ro Khanna say during Ballots Over Billionaires Rally?
Markets
15 words · 6 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trump | Yes | 61%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | Yes | 51%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Bernie / Sanders | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Working Class / Middle Class | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Healthcare | Yes | 40%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| 2028 / Campaign | Yes | 30%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 56%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | 51%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| China / Chinese | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Iran / Iranian | No | 46%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Wealth Tax | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Epstein | No | 42%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Data Center | No | 39%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordability / Affordable | No | 30%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | No | 27%n=7 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXKHANNAMENTION-26OCT03 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP