Ro Khanna: Episode, Apr 26, 2026

Sun, Apr 26EpisodeHistory onlyRo Khanna

Updated

Markets

12 words · 5 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Republican Yes65%n=3 from settlement history–
Epstein Yes58%n=4 from settlement history–
Oil / Gas / Gasoline Yes47%n=2 from settlement history–
Iran Yes42%n=3 from settlement history–
ICE / DHS Yes29%n=3 from settlement history–
Billionaire No52%n=3 from settlement history–
AI / Artificial Intelligence No46%n=2 from settlement history–
Data Center No–new new word, no probability yet–
Corrupt / Corruption No41%n=3 from settlement history–
Israel / Israeli No41%n=3 from settlement history–
Ghislaine / Maxwell No32%n=2 from settlement history–
Afford / Affordable / Affordability No29%n=3 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXKHANNAMENTION-26APR26 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP