Ro Khanna: Interview, Apr 12, 2026

Sun, Apr 12InterviewHistory onlyRo Khanna

Updated

Markets

12 words · 4 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Republican Yes61%n=2 from settlement history–
Epstein Yes48%n=3 from settlement history–
Oil / Gas / Gasoline Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Iran Yes29%n=2 from settlement history–
Billionaire No59%n=2 from settlement history–
AI / Artificial Intelligence No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Healthcare No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Corrupt / Corruption No43%n=2 from settlement history–
Israel / Israeli No43%n=2 from settlement history–
Ghislaine / Maxwell No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Afford / Affordable / Affordability No29%n=2 from settlement history–
ICE / DHS No29%n=2 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXKHANNAMENTION-26APR12 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP