Kelly Loeffler: Hearing, Jul 14, 2026

Tue, Jul 14HearingHistory onlyKelly Loeffler

Updated

Markets

19 words · 10 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Biden Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
China / Chinese Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Covid / Pandemic Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Fraud Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Loan / Lending Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Main Street Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Manufacturing Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Tariff Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Trump 5+ timesYes–new new word, no probability yet–
Veteran Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Afford / Affordable / Affordability No–new new word, no probability yet–
AI / Artificial Intelligence No–new new word, no probability yet–
American Dream No–new new word, no probability yet–
Entrepreneur No–new new word, no probability yet–
Golden Era / Golden Age No–new new word, no probability yet–
Inflation No–new new word, no probability yet–
Innovate / Innovation No–new new word, no probability yet–
Made in America No–new new word, no probability yet–
Recession No–new new word, no probability yet–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXHEARINGMENTION-26JUL14B · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP