Kevin Stitt: Speech, Feb 3, 2026
Kalshi What will Kevin Stitt say during his State of the State Address?
Markets
15 words · 5 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Common Sense | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Oil | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Teacher | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Affordable / Affordability | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Data Center | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Farmer | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| ICE / National Guard | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Immigrant / Immigration | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Legends Tower | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Mental Health | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tax Cut | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tribe / Tribal | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXGOVERNORMENTION-26FEB03 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP