UFC & boxing: Game, May 30, 2026
Kalshi What will the announcers say during Alex Perez vs Su Mudaerji UFC Fight
Markets
13 words · 4 settled yes- Kalshi: play-by-play or color Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Decision / Judged | Yes | 53%n=36 from settlement history | – |
| Train / Trained / Training | Yes | 52%n=44 from settlement history | – |
| Knockout / Knock Out / Knocked Out | Yes | 49%n=48 from settlement history | – |
| Slip / Slips / Slipped | Yes | 32%n=42 from settlement history | – |
| Choke / Choked / Chokehold | No | 37%n=45 from settlement history | – |
| Triangle | No | 36%n=43 from settlement history | – |
| Tired / Tiring | No | 35%n=47 from settlement history | – |
| Blood / Bloody | No | 35%n=48 from settlement history | – |
| Championship | No | 24%n=46 from settlement history | – |
| What a Fight | No | 15%n=35 from settlement history | – |
| Legal / Illegal | No | 9%n=45 from settlement history | – |
| Dana | No | 9%n=47 from settlement history | – |
| Lights Out | No | 2%n=43 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
History only. Sports broadcasts are tracked by their settled markets; there is no transcript for games.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXFIGHTMENTION-26MAY30PERMUD · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP