UFC & boxing: Game, May 16, 2026

Sat, May 16GameHistory onlyUFC & boxing

Updated

Markets

15 words · 6 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Decision / Judged Yes53%n=34 from settlement history–
Knockout / Knock Out / Knocked Out Yes48%n=45 from settlement history–
Choke / Choked / Chokehold Yes35%n=42 from settlement history–
Netflix Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
UFC Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Predator Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Train / Trained / Training No56%n=41 from settlement history–
Tired / Tiring No35%n=44 from settlement history–
Blood / Bloody No35%n=45 from settlement history–
Monstro No–new new word, no probability yet–
MVP No–new new word, no probability yet–
Championship No25%n=44 from settlement history–
What a Fight No16%n=32 from settlement history–
Legal / Illegal No10%n=42 from settlement history–
Dana No9%n=44 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

History only. Sports broadcasts are tracked by their settled markets; there is no transcript for games.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXFIGHTMENTION-26MAY16NGALIN · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP