UFC & boxing: Game, Jul 25, 2026

Sat, Jul 25GameHistory onlyUFC & boxing

Updated

Markets

13 words · 0 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Knockout / Knock Out / Knocked Out No49%n=90 from settlement history–
Train / Trained / Training No46%n=84 from settlement history–
Decision / Judge No34%n=27 from settlement history–
Choke / Choked / Chokehold No32%n=84 from settlement history–
Triangle No31%n=85 from settlement history–
Tired / Tiring No30%n=86 from settlement history–
Blood / Bloody / Bloodied No27%n=21 from settlement history–
Slip / Slips / Slipped No26%n=81 from settlement history–
Championship No22%n=85 from settlement history–
What a Fight No12%n=74 from settlement history–
Legal / Illegal No9%n=84 from settlement history–
Dana No7%n=87 from settlement history–
Lights Out No1%n=82 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

History only. Sports broadcasts are tracked by their settled markets; there is no transcript for games.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXFIGHTMENTION-26JUL25DULTUR · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP