UFC & boxing: Game, Jul 13, 2026
Kalshi What will the announcers say during Kevin Holland vs Jacobe Smith Fight
Markets
13 words · 0 settled yes- Kalshi: any official commentator Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Knockout / Knock Out / Knocked Out | No | 47%n=83 from settlement history | – |
| Train / Trained / Training | No | 46%n=77 from settlement history | – |
| Decision / Judge | No | 36%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Triangle | No | 33%n=78 from settlement history | – |
| Choke / Choked / Chokehold | No | 32%n=77 from settlement history | – |
| Tired / Tiring | No | 30%n=79 from settlement history | – |
| Slip / Slips / Slipped | No | 28%n=74 from settlement history | – |
| Blood / Bloody / Bloodied | No | 26%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Championship | No | 21%n=78 from settlement history | – |
| What a Fight | No | 11%n=67 from settlement history | – |
| Legal / Illegal | No | 7%n=77 from settlement history | – |
| Dana | No | 6%n=80 from settlement history | – |
| Lights Out | No | 1%n=75 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:05 UTC.
Transcript
History only. Sports broadcasts are tracked by their settled markets; there is no transcript for games.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXFIGHTMENTION-26JUL18HOLSMI · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP