Anderson Cooper 360°: Episode, Dec 3, 2025

Wed, Dec 3EpisodeHistory onlyAnderson Cooper 360°

Updated

Markets

10 words · 3 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Hegseth Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Immigrant / Immigration Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Somali / Somalia Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Epstein No34%n=3 from settlement history–
FBI No24%n=3 from settlement history–
Luigi No–new new word, no probability yet–
Maduro No–new new word, no probability yet–
National Guard No–new new word, no probability yet–
Pardon No–new new word, no probability yet–
Supreme Court No15%n=3 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXACOOPERMENTION-25DEC03 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP